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2019 Breeders Cup Another Canadian Nightmare?

Publish: 01.11.2019

Ireland 31, Great Britain 20, France 7, Canada 6, Argentina 5. Seems like a competition score-line in a rugby tournament right?  Wrong, it the number of race victories individual countries have enjoyed at the Breeders Cup meeting.  

And the hosts, the USA, who have staged this meeting at their own racecourses since 1984 (at the now demolished Hollywood Park) and gave it to Canada once – in 1996 at Woodbine – have won 262 Breeders Cup races to date. 

In 2019 festivities and races get underway on Friday 1st November, with a race card which heavily features juvenile races, but Saturday is the ‘biggie’ with the Breeders Cup Sprint, $2 million Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf, $4 million Breeders’ Cup Turf and the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic amongst the contests to be decided.

2019 Breeders Cup Another Canadian Nightmare?

Favorites Record

As of 2018 99 favorites have won in 332 Breeders’ Cup races, a 29.8 percent strike rate. Of the 332 favorites, 59 were odds-on chances with 26 of them winning.

This year Omaha Beach (BC Mile) and Sistercharlie (BC Filly & Mare Turf) are amongst those horses that could go off at odds-on.

2019 Breeders’ Cup Contenders with Canadian Ties

Anyway, horses with an interest to Canadian horse race fans include Got Stormy, who goes in the Turf Mile, and is trained by Mark Casse who is a Canadian horse racing ‘Hall of Fame’ trainer.  A winner of the Grade 3 Ontario Colleen Stakes in 2018 at Woodbine he is currently trading at +450

El Tormenta, who goes in the same race, was the winner of the Breeders’ Cup Challenge Series’ Grade 1 Ricoh Woodbine Mile on September 14 at Woodbine and the Grade 2 Connaught Cup in June.

And amongst the runners in the $4 million Turf is Old Persian, winner of the Grade 1 Northern Dancer Stakes on September 14 at Woodbine.  Breeders Cup odds of +300 are available about the British trained runner who is conditioned by Charlie Appleby who has an outstanding Breeders Cup record that shows three winners and a second from six starters.

Looking for a Winner

It has to be said the Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic has a very ordinary look about it but there will be winner amongst one of the most competitive line-ups we have seen in years. Bob Baffert’s McKinzie is the marginal +300 favorite but with Code of Honor and Vino Rosso priced +400, Elate and Higher Power listed and six of the 11 horses in the field priced +800 or shorter, this has the look of a lottery.

Nevertheless only four of the field were a last time out winner and amongst those is Code of Honor who finished second in the controversial Kentucky Derby but missed the remainder of the Triple Crown to record three straight victories, two in Grade 1 level. 

The three-year-old horse is trained by Claude McGaughey III but if he hailed from the Baffert, Mott or D. Wayne Lucas barns he would surely start favourite and therefore he looks a standout value Breeders Cup bet.